Here are the weekend’s 1X2 predictions. For each Saturday and Sunday match the table gives the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win, plus a predicted score. The predictions come from an outside provider and we show them as published.
The weekend list is the longest of the week, and it’s easy to feel you should do something with all of it. This page is about how to use a long list sensibly, and what you can reasonably expect from correct score predictions over a whole weekend.
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How a 1X2 bet is decided
The result at the end of 90 minutes plus added time settles the bet. Extra time and penalties aren’t counted, so a cup match that’s level after 90 minutes is a draw. If a match is postponed the bet is normally void. A correct score bet is stricter, because it needs the exact score and not just the result.
How the weekend is made up
Between July 2024 and October 2026 we counted 14,617 league matches, and 10,810 of them were played on a Saturday or a Sunday. Saturday had 62% of those and Sunday 38%. Friday added another 1,510 matches.
Different leagues use different days. Seven in ten League Two matches were on a Saturday, as were six in ten Bundesliga matches. In the Premier League 47% were on a Saturday and 31% on a Sunday. Ligue 1 (51%) and the Greek Super League (53%) put the largest share on Sunday, and more than half of Ligue 2’s matches were on a Friday. So Saturday’s table is full of English and German football, and Sunday’s has more from France, Italy and the Netherlands.
Weekend scores compared with midweek scores
We compared the 10,810 weekend matches with 1,573 played on a Tuesday, Wednesday or Thursday.
| Weekend | Midweek | |
|---|---|---|
| Home wins | 43.3% | 42.5% |
| Draws | 26.0% | 28.0% |
| Away wins | 30.7% | 29.6% |
| Goals per match | 2.74 | 2.60 |
| Most common score | 1-1 (11.8%) | 1-1 (13.3%) |
Midweek matches had slightly more draws and fewer goals, and 1-1 was a bit more common. The gap is small and the midweek group is much smaller, so don’t treat it as a rule. Friday was similar to the weekend: 1-1 was 12.5% and 1-0 was 12.1% of matches.
How many correct scores can a weekend give you?
This is the question most people don’t ask. Suppose a weekend list has 40 matches and you give a score for each one. If your hit rate is 12%, which is what you’d get by picking the commonest score every time and is about as good as correct score prediction gets, you’d expect about 5 correct scores. You’d get 8 or more on only about one weekend in ten. You’d get 2 or fewer about one weekend in eight, and none at all in about one weekend in 170.
That tells you two things. A few good scores in one weekend isn’t evidence that a method works, and a poor weekend isn’t evidence that it doesn’t. And because the long odds on correct scores mean the winners have to pay for many losers, the average weekend is expected to lose even when the predictions are good.
Result first, score second
If you’re picking from a long list, decide the result first. A 1X2 pick has a much better hit rate than a correct score pick, because the result is a group of scores. A home win includes 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-1 and more. In our sample 43% of matches were home wins, but the single commonest home-win score, 1-0, happened in just 10% of all matches.
Once you’ve found the matches where a result looks strong, you can pick the likeliest score inside it. For a home win that’s 1-0 or 2-1. For a draw it’s 1-1, which makes up almost half of all draws.
Five rules we follow
- Pick a handful, not the list. A hit rate of one in eight means a bigger list just means more misses.
- Choose the result before the score. Then pick the commonest score inside that result.
- Check the league’s day. League Two and the Bundesliga are Saturday leagues. France and Greece lean towards Sunday.
- Don’t expect weekends to be special. Scores were close to midweek ones.
- Look again on the day. Line-ups and injuries change the picture, and the table can’t see them.
Common mistakes
The most common mistake is trying to be right about everything. A bettor who backs all forty matches has to win about one in eight just to stay level, and that’s a lot to ask over a weekend.
Another is changing method after one weekend. A run of misses at a 12% hit rate is normal. The only fair judgement comes after a hundred matches or more.
The third is chasing losses on Sunday to recover Saturday. Set a limit for the whole weekend before the first kick-off.
Questions about weekend predictions
Are weekend matches higher scoring? Slightly. They averaged 2.74 goals a match against 2.60 midweek.
Are there more draws at the weekend? No. Draws were 26% against 28% midweek.
Which day has the most matches? Saturday, with 62% of the weekend total.
What’s the commonest weekend score? 1-1, at 11.8%.
How many correct scores should I expect out of forty? About five if you’re as accurate as the best single-score guess.
Where can I see other days? On the 1X2 today page and the tomorrow page. For goals, see over and under 2.5 for the weekend.
Predictions are estimates. You must be at least 18 to bet, and any stake should be money you could lose without a problem.