1X2 is the plainest bet in football. You pick the home win (1), the draw (X) or the away win (2), and you win if the match ends that way. Every match in the table below comes with its chances for all three results, and a predicted score to go with them.
The predictions in the table come from an outside provider and we show them as published. What we add is the reading guide underneath: how the bet works, which scores usually sit behind each result, and how far you can trust a favourite.
More predictions for today
Tomorrow’s predictions
How a 1X2 bet settles
The result at the end of 90 minutes plus added time decides it. Extra time and penalties are ignored, so a cup tie that’s level after 90 minutes counts as a draw. Postponed matches are normally void. Bookmakers word the rules a little differently, so check the one on your slip.
Two similar bets are worth knowing. Double chance covers two results at once, so 1X means a home win or a draw. Draw no bet gives your stake back if the match is drawn. Neither is the same as 1X2, and neither names a score. That’s what the correct score is for.
The scores behind each result
A result is only a group of scores. When you back a home win you’re backing 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 3-1 and everything else in that group. We counted them in 14,617 league matches played between July 2024 and October 2026:
| Result | Share of matches | Most common scores inside it |
|---|---|---|
| Home win | 43.4% | 1-0 (23%), 2-1 (21%), 2-0 (15%), 3-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%) |
| Draw | 26.2% | 1-1 (46%), 0-0 (27%), 2-2 (23%), 3-3 (4%) |
| Away win | 30.4% | 0-1 (25%), 1-2 (25%), 0-2 (16%), 1-3 (9%), 0-3 (8%) |
The draw is the neatest group. Nearly half of all draws are 1-1, and almost three in four are 1-1 or 0-0. If you’ve decided a match is going to be level, the correct score choice is almost always 1-1.
Wins are looser. Just over half of home wins, 51%, were by a single goal. About 27% were by two goals and 14% by three. So the likeliest winning score in any match is a narrow one, and picking a 3-0 means asking for something that happened in fewer than one home win in ten.
A worked example
Say a row reads 52, 26 and 22, with a predicted score of 1-0. The home side is the favourite. Inside a home win, 1-0 is the commonest score at 23%, so 1-0 comes out at about 12% overall (52% times 23%).
Now look at the draw. A 26% draw multiplied by the 46% of draws that finish 1-1 also comes to about 12%. So even with a clear favourite, the single scores 1-0 and 1-1 are nearly level. The home win is the likelier result, but the draw has one score that holds almost half of it, and the home win has several sharing the rest. That’s why predicted scores often look cautious, and why a 1-1 isn’t a mistake when a team is favoured.
How far can you trust a favourite?
Bookmakers’ prices are a good yardstick, because they have to be close to the truth. We removed the bookmaker’s margin from the average price of each match and grouped matches by how likely the best-priced result was:
| Favourite rated at | Matches | Favourite won |
|---|---|---|
| Under 40% | 3,092 | 38% |
| 40% to 50% | 5,614 | 45% |
| 50% to 60% | 3,346 | 57% |
| 60% to 70% | 1,537 | 66% |
| 70% to 80% | 784 | 78% |
| 80% or more | 244 | 88% |
The favourite wins about as often as the rating says, at every level. That’s useful for reading the table. A row with a 45% favourite is close to a coin flip between three results. A row at 75% is a strong call, and even then about one match in five goes the other way.
What the draw column tells you
The draw’s chance matters more than its place in the table. When the price implied a draw below 22%, it happened 18% of the time. At 26% to 30% it happened 29%, and above 30% it happened 32%. If you see a match where the draw is near 30%, a predicted 1-0 is a brave pick, because the match is close to a one-in-three chance of a draw.
Five rules we follow
- Read all three percentages, not just the pick. A home win at 41% means a 59% chance it doesn’t happen.
- Pick the likeliest score inside the likeliest result. For a home favourite that’s usually 1-0 or 2-1. For a draw it’s 1-1.
- Respect the draw. Draws are 26% of matches, and 29% when the three results are close.
- Use double chance for safety. When the price put 1X at 80% to 90%, it landed 86% of the time over 2,406 matches. At 90% or more it landed 96%.
- Don’t chase big scores. A 3-0 home win is 9% of home wins, which is about 4% of all matches.
Common mistakes
The first mistake is backing a result and a score that don’t fit. If you think a match will be level, choose 1-1 and not 2-2. If you think a home side is far better, a 1-0 is still more common than a 3-0.
The second is treating a predicted score as a promise. The score in the table is only the likeliest single outcome of many. At 12% for the commonest score, it misses most of the time.
The third is ignoring the odds you’re offered. A fair price for a team rated 45% is about 2.22. If you can get less, the bet isn’t worth it, however good the story sounds.
Questions about 1X2
What does 1X2 mean? 1 is a home win, X is a draw and 2 is an away win.
Is 1X2 the same as a correct score bet? No. A 1X2 bet wins on any score in the group. A correct score bet wins only on one exact score.
Which 1X2 result happens most? The home win, at 43% of matches in our sample. Away wins were 30% and draws 26%.
What’s the most common score for a home win? 1-0, at 23% of home wins, then 2-1 at 21%.
What’s the most common draw? 1-1, at 46% of draws.
Is a strong favourite safe? No. Even a favourite rated 70% to 80% lost or drew about one match in five.
Can I see tomorrow’s or the weekend’s matches? Yes. Try 1X2 for tomorrow or the weekend page. For goals, see over and under 2.5 today.
These are estimates and nothing more. You must be 18 to bet, and any stake should be money you could lose without a problem.