Nations League scores are quieter than club football. Matches between national teams average 2.46 goals, 0-0 is the fifth commonest score at 9.5%, and 2-2 is rare, at only 3.4%. Both teams scored in just 44% of games. If you predict scores for clubs, you’ll need to turn your expectations down a notch.
The table below lists Nations League fixtures with a predicted score for each. The predictions come from an outside provider and we show them as published. The notes use 618 league-phase matches from the 2018, 2020, 2022 and 2024 editions to show how scores in the competition behave.
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How a correct score bet works
The score after 90 minutes plus added time settles the bet. In the final stages and the promotion and relegation play-offs, extra time and penalties don’t count in most bookmakers’ rules. Own goals count for the team credited with them, and postponed matches are normally void. We use only the league-phase matches below, because they have no extra time and so no confusion about which score counts.
The scores in the Nations League
| Score | Share of matches |
|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% |
| 2-0 | 9.7% |
| 0-1 | 9.7% |
| 0-0 | 9.5% |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
| 2-1 | 7.4% |
Five scores, 1-1, 1-0, 2-0, 0-1 and 0-0, each cover around 10%, and together they make up half of all matches. 2-2 is only 3.4%, and 3-0 only 3.2%. We found 33 different final scores in 618 matches, a narrower spread than in the Champions League or the Bundesliga.
Home sides won 43% of matches, drew 25% and lost 32%. The home team was scoreless in 29% and the away team in 37%. That away figure is much higher than in any club league we counted, where the highest was 32%. That makes a predicted away goal harder to rely on than in club football.
How it compares with club football
| Nations League | Domestic leagues | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.46 | 2.72 |
| 0-0 draws | 9.5% | 7.0% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 54% |
| 2-2 draws | 3.4% | 6.0% |
| Won by three or more | 16% | 14% |
International matches have fewer goals and many more 0-0 draws, and fewer 2-2s. But they also have slightly more lopsided results. A win by three goals or more was 16% of matches, against 14% in club leagues. That’s because the Nations League puts big countries against small ones.
How many goals
| Goals in the match | Share of matches |
|---|---|
| 0 | 9.5% |
| 1 | 19.9% |
| 2 | 26.9% |
| 3 | 20.7% |
| 4 | 10.5% |
| 5 | 7.8% |
| 6 or more | 4.7% |
Two goals is the commonest total at 27%, and three or fewer goals covered 77% of matches. Just 23% had four or more, against 38% in the Bundesliga or Eredivisie. So the scores to think about are the short ones: 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1 and 0-0.
Home advantage in internationals
Home wins by two goals or more were 23.5% of matches, a little above the 21% in the domestic leagues we counted. Away wins by two or more were 12.6%. A draw was 25% of results and 0-0 was nearly one in ten.
A predicted home win of 2-0 is therefore on firm ground. A predicted away win by two goals is much less so.
Edition by edition
| Edition | Matches | Goals | Draws | 0-0 | Commonest score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018/19 | 138 | 2.41 | 24% | 10% | 2-0 (13%) |
| 2020/21 | 162 | 2.27 | 30% | 13% | 1-1 (14%) |
| 2022/23 | 160 | 2.59 | 23% | 5% | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| 2024/25 | 158 | 2.56 | 25% | 10% | 1-0 (12%) |
The 2020/21 edition was the quietest, with only 2.27 goals a match and 13% of games finishing 0-0. The next two editions scored more, and the latest, in 2024/25, averaged 2.56 with 1-0 as its commonest score.
The biggest win in the data was Germany 7-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2024.
There were also five 6-0 results: Switzerland over Iceland and Spain over Croatia in 2018, Spain over Germany in 2020, Turkey away to Lithuania in 2022 and Sweden over Azerbaijan in 2024.
The finals
| Year | Final |
|---|---|
| 2019 | Portugal 1-0 Netherlands |
| 2021 | Spain 1-2 France |
| 2023 | Croatia 0-0 Spain (Spain won on penalties) |
| 2025 | Portugal 2-2 Spain (Portugal won on penalties) |
Two of the four finals went to penalties after a level game: the goalless 0-0 in 2023 and the 2-2 in 2025. A correct score bet on those finals would have settled on the score before penalties.
Five rules we follow
- Start from 1-0, 1-1 and 2-0. And remember 0-0 is as likely as 2-0.
- Lower the goals. Nations League matches average 2.46.
- Don’t predict 2-2. It’s 3.4% of matches.
- Watch the away goal. The away team failed to score in 37% of games.
- Keep stakes small. The commonest score is 11.5%.
Common mistakes
The commonest mistake is using club football patterns. A 2-2 or a 3-2 is far rarer here.
Another is forgetting the mismatches. One match in six was won by three goals or more.
The third is expecting a goal from a small away side. Away teams were scoreless in more than a third of matches.
Reading a Nations League row
If the table gives a big nation at home against a small one, 2-0 and 3-0 are the natural picks, and a predicted 1-0 is the safer end. If it gives two teams of similar standing, 1-1, 1-0 and 0-0 are close in probability, each near 10%. A predicted 2-2 or 3-3 would be unusual.
Questions about Nations League correct scores
What’s the commonest Nations League score? 1-1, at 11.5%.
How many goals does a Nations League match have? 2.46 on average.
How often is a Nations League match 0-0? About 9.5%.
Who has won the Nations League? Portugal (2019 and 2025), France (2021) and Spain (2023).
Does extra time count? Not in most bookmakers’ correct score rules.
What’s the biggest Nations League win in the data? Germany 7-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2024.
Where can I see other predictions? Try 1X2 for today or over and under. For a club competition, see the Champions League page.
These are estimates and nothing more. You must be 18 or over to bet, and you should only stake money you can afford to lose.