Italian Football Correct Score Predictions

Serie A is the quiet league among Europe’s big five. It has the fewest goals, the fewest games where both sides score, the smallest home advantage and the most goalless draws. For correct score, that means fewer high scores, and a lot of 1-0, 0-1 and 1-1.

The table lists Italian fixtures with a predicted score. The predictions come from an outside provider and we show them as published. Underneath, we’ve used 830 Serie A results from July 2024 to October 2026 to show what Italian scores look like and how the big clubs play.

Related Predictions

Spanish Football Correct Score Predictions French Football Correct Score Predictions German Football Correct Score Predictions
English Football Correct Score Predictions Both Teams To Score Correct Score Predictions for Today Both Teams To Score Correct Score Predictions for the Weekend

How the bet is settled

You name the exact score and the bet wins only if the match finishes that way after 90 minutes plus added time. Extra time and shoot-outs don’t count, so a cup match that’s 2-2 at the end of 90 minutes is a 2-2. Own goals are credited to the team that benefits. If the match is abandoned the bet is normally void, though some bookmakers settle it if the score can’t change.

What Italian scores look like

Score Share of Serie A matches
1-1 11.8%
1-0 10.1%
2-1 9.3%
0-1 9.0%
0-0 7.8%
1-2 7.3%

Two things stand out. First, 0-0 is the fifth commonest score at 7.8%, more than anywhere else among the biggest five leagues. Second, 0-1 is almost as common as 2-1, because away teams win a lot in Italy: 34% of matches, compared with 40% for the home side.

Goals averaged 2.53 a match, the lowest of the big five. Only 48% of matches went over 2.5, and both teams scored in 49%. The home side averaged 1.33 goals and the visitors 1.20, so the gap between them is just 0.13, the smallest of the five biggest leagues.

A league where both sides fail to score

In Serie A the home team was scoreless in 28% of matches and the away team in 30%. In La Liga the home team was scoreless in 19%. So a predicted 1-0 for the home team is a less safe call in Italy than it would be in Spain, because the home side fails to score nearly as often as the visitors.

That’s also why the draw is so important. In our sample 26% of matches were drawn, with 1-1 and 0-0 making up most of them.

The big four clubs

These are from each club’s point of view over 83 league matches each:

Club Won / drew / lost Goals for / against Commonest scores (club first)
Inter 69% / 19% / 12% 2.28 / 0.95 2-0 (16%), 1-0 (12%)
Napoli 60% / 22% / 18% 1.53 / 0.84 1-0 (18%), 2-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%)
Juventus 48% / 36% / 16% 1.54 / 0.93 1-1 (18%), 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (12%)
Milan 51% / 27% / 23% 1.54 / 1.02 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (12%), 2-1 and 1-2 (11%)

Juventus stand out: they drew 36% of their league matches, and 1-1 was their commonest score by a distance. Napoli were the best defence of the four, conceding 0.84 a game, and 1-0 was their commonest result at 18%. Inter had the most goals and the most comfortable wins, and 2-0 was their commonest score at 16%.

Inter finished top in 2025/26 on 87 points, with Napoli second on 76. In 2024/25 Napoli topped the table on 82 points, one ahead of Inter.

At home and away

The big four don’t behave the same away from home. Inter won 74% of home games and 63% away. Napoli won 71% at home and 50% away. Juventus won only 55% of home games and 41% away, and Milan 51% at home and 50% away.

Milan’s split is unusual: they were nearly as good away as at home. Juventus, by contrast, were less reliable at home than most people would guess, because draws kept turning up. For a correct score bettor that matters, because a predicted home win for Juventus is worth less than the club’s name suggests.

Reading an Italian row

If the table gives Inter a 2-0 at home, that’s their commonest score and a fair pick. If it gives Napoli a 1-0, same story. A predicted 3-0 or 4-0 for any Italian side is a rare score: 3-0 is 3.5% of matches in the league and 4-0 only 1.6%.

The safest thing in Serie A is to check the prediction against the league’s first four scores, 1-1, 1-0, 2-1 and 0-1. If the prediction isn’t one of those, you’re picking something that happens less than once in ten matches.

Five rules we follow

  1. Take 1-0, 0-1 and 1-1 seriously. Together they’re 31% of Serie A matches.
  2. Don’t dismiss 0-0. It’s nearly one match in thirteen.
  3. Treat a predicted home win with care. Away teams win a third of Italian matches.
  4. Look at the club. Juventus produce draws, Napoli 1-0s, Inter 2-0s.
  5. Keep stakes small. The commonest single score is under 12%.

Common mistakes

The commonest mistake is expecting a big club to win big. Even Inter’s commonest score was a 2-0, and Napoli’s was a 1-0.

Another is forgetting that away wins are common. In Serie A 34% of matches went to the visitors, and 0-1 is as common as 2-1.

The third is predicting high-scoring games. A 2-2 is 5.9% of Serie A matches against 7.8% in the Premier League, and a 3-0 is only 3.5%.

Questions about Serie A correct scores

What’s the commonest Serie A score? 1-1, at 12% of matches.

How often is a Serie A match 0-0? About 8%.

Is Serie A low scoring? Yes. 2.53 goals a match, the lowest of the big five.

Do both teams usually score? No. Only 49% of matches.

Who won Serie A in 2025/26? Inter finished top on 87 points.

Which club draws the most? Juventus, in 36% of their matches in our sample.

Where can I see other predictions? Try 1X2 for today or both teams to score. For another league, see the German page.

These are estimates, not promises. If you bet, you must be 18 or over, and any stake should be money you can afford to lose.