The Europa League is the draw-friendly European competition. In the knockout rounds more than a quarter of matches finished level, 1-1 was the commonest score by a clear margin, and by the quarter-finals goals dried up to 2.3 a match. If the Champions League is a competition of 2-0 wins, this is one of 1-1 draws.
The table below lists Europa League fixtures with a predicted score for each. The predictions come from an outside provider and we show them as published. The notes use 610 matches from 2021/22 to 2024/25 to show how Europa League scores behave. The files don’t yet have the 2025/26 season.
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How a correct score bet works
The score after 90 minutes plus added time decides the bet. Extra time and penalties don’t count in most bookmakers’ rules, and the aggregate score of a two-legged tie is irrelevant, because you’re predicting one match. Own goals count for the team credited with them, and postponed matches are usually void. Always check the rules where you bet.
How the competition scores
| Group and league phase | Knockout rounds | All matches | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 432 | 174 | 610 |
| Home win | 47.9% | 47.1% | 47.7% |
| Draw | 21.8% | 27.6% | 23.6% |
| Away win | 30.3% | 25.3% | 28.7% |
| Goals per match | 2.81 | 2.87 | 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | 52.3% | 56.9% | 53.6% |
Goals are similar between the two stages, but draws aren’t. 27.6% of knockout matches were drawn, which is higher than the Champions League’s 22.1% and about the same as in domestic football. And both teams scored in 57% of them.
The commonest scores
| Score | Group and league phase | Knockout rounds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.2% | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.0% | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | 8.0% |
| 0-1 | 8.1% | not in top six |
| 2-0 | 7.9% | 7.5% |
| 2-2 | 5.6% | 8.6% |
In the knockout rounds 1-1 jumps to nearly 14%, and 2-2 reaches 8.6%. That’s a lot of level scorelines, Across all matches, 31 different final scores appeared, a smaller spread than in the Champions League’s 46.
Round by round
The knockout stage isn’t uniform. These are the draw rates and goals per match by round:
| Round | Matches | Draws | Goals per match |
|---|---|---|---|
| Play-offs | 64 | 30% | 3.16 |
| Round of 16 | 62 | 21% | 2.97 |
| Quarter-finals | 32 | 34% | 2.31 |
| Semi-finals | 16 | 31% | 2.44 |
The later rounds had more draws and fewer goals. The sample is small, especially for the semi-finals, so treat these as a hint. But they fit what the commonest knockout scores say: when the stakes go up, the scores tighten.
Home advantage
Home advantage is stronger here than in domestic football. Home sides won 48% of group and league-phase matches, drew 22% and lost 30%. In the knockouts they won 47%, and the visitors only 25%.
Home wins by two or more goals made up 24% of all matches, against 13% for away wins by two or more. And the away side was scoreless in 31% of matches. So a predicted home win of 2-0 or 2-1 is much better supported than a predicted away win by the same margin.
How clubs from each country fared
In the group and league phase, English clubs won 67% of their 58 matches and conceded 0.93 goals a game. Spanish and German clubs each won 62%. Italian clubs won 52%, and they drew 27%. French clubs drew the most of the big countries at 31%, and won only 46%.
Turkish clubs won 40% and drew 33%, and Greek clubs won only 30%. So a Turkish or Greek club in a group match is much more likely to produce a draw or a narrow result than an English or Spanish one.
The finals
| Season | Final (90 minutes) |
|---|---|
| 2021/22 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Rangers (Frankfurt won on penalties) |
| 2022/23 | Sevilla 1-1 Roma (Sevilla won on penalties) |
| 2023/24 | Atalanta 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2024/25 | Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Manchester United |
The 2026 final was Aston Villa 3-0 Freiburg in Istanbul on 20 May 2026. Two of the four finals in our files were 1-1 after 90 minutes and went to penalties, and that fits the competition’s pattern.
Reading a Europa League row
If the table gives 1-1, that’s the commonest score in the competition, and in a knockout tie it’s even more so. If it gives a predicted 1-0 or 2-1, you’re on the second and third. A predicted 0-0 isn’t foolish in the quarter-finals or later, because draws and low scores were more common there.
For a group match involving a big English, Spanish or German club, the scores lean towards clear wins. For one involving a Turkish or Greek club, they lean towards draws and narrow results.
Five rules we follow
- Give 1-1 first place in the knockouts. It’s 14% of those matches.
- Expect fewer goals in the late rounds. Quarter-finals averaged 2.3.
- Check the country. English and Spanish clubs win. French and Turkish clubs draw.
- Don’t rely on the aggregate. You’re predicting one match.
- Keep stakes small. The commonest score is under 14%.
Common mistakes
The commonest mistake is using Champions League scores for Europa League matches. A 2-0 is the commonest score in one and only fourth in the other.
Another is forgetting the stage. Group matches look like domestic football. Knockout ties are cagier.
The third is ignoring the home side’s record. Home sides won about 48% of matches in each stage, and scored in around 80% of them.
Questions about Europa League correct scores
What’s the commonest Europa League score? 1-1, at 11.5% of matches and 13.8% in the knockouts.
How many goals does a Europa League match have? About 2.8 on average.
Are there more draws than in the Champions League? Yes. 27.6% in the knockouts against 22.1%.
How did the 2026 final finish? Aston Villa 3-0 Freiburg.
How many finals went to penalties in our sample? Two of the four, in 2022 and 2023.
Which country’s clubs do best? English clubs, with 67% wins in the group and league phase.
Where can I see other predictions? Try 1X2 for tomorrow or BTTS for today. For the main competition, see the Champions League page.
These are estimates, not promises. You must be 18 or over to bet, and your stake should be money you can afford to lose.