Ligue 1 has the fewest draws in the big five, one of the biggest shares of home wins and, unusually, a most common score that isn’t 1-1. It’s 1-0. French matches also produce more different final scores than any other league we counted, 42 in all, and one club, Paris Saint-Germain, plays by different rules from everyone else.
The table below lists French fixtures with a predicted score. The predictions come from an outside provider and we show them as published. The notes use 675 Ligue 1 results from July 2024 to October 2026 to show how scores in France really behave.
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How a correct score bet works
You name an exact score and the bet wins if the match ends that way after 90 minutes plus added time. Extra time and penalties don’t count, so a cup match level after 90 minutes is a draw for settlement. Own goals count for the team credited with them. Abandoned matches are normally void. The details vary by bookmaker, so check yours.
The scores in Ligue 1
| Score | Share of Ligue 1 matches |
|---|---|
| 1-0 | 10.1% |
| 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% |
| 2-0 | 7.4% |
| 0-0 | 6.2% |
| 1-2 | 6.2% |
The top five scores cover 42% of matches, so Ligue 1 is more spread out than Spain or Italy, and less than Germany. The reason 1-0 leads is that the draw is rare. Only 22.5% of French matches finished level, the lowest rate in the big five, so 1-1 and 0-0 have less room to build up.
Home advantage is strong. Home sides won 46% of matches and scored 1.60 goals to the visitors’ 1.31. A home win by two goals or more happened in 24% of matches.
Paris and the rest
The league looks different with and without PSG. We counted 75 matches involving PSG and 600 that didn’t:
| PSG matches | All other matches | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 3.37 | 2.85 |
| Draws | 16% | 23% |
| Goalless draws | 1.3% | 6.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 53% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 54% |
| Commonest score | 3-1 (11%) | 1-0 (10%) |
PSG’s matches have more goals and far fewer draws. A 0-0 with PSG in it was almost non-existent, at 1.3%, against nearly 7% for everyone else. If you see PSG in a fixture, the league figures stop applying and you’re better off using the club’s own pattern.
From PSG’s own point of view they won 72% of the 75 matches, drew 16% and lost 12%. They scored 2.40 and conceded 0.97 a game.
Their commonest scores were 1-0 (13%), 3-1 (12%) and 3-0 (11%), and they won 78% of home games and 67% away. Marseille, by comparison, won 55% and lost 32%, and kept a clean sheet in only 21% of matches.
PSG finished top in 2024/25 on 84 points, 19 clear of Marseille. In 2025/26 they topped it again on 76, with Lens second on 70.
Home and away in France
French home teams scored in 78% of matches and the visitors in 70%. The home side was scoreless in 22% and the away side in 30%. A one-goal home win made up 22% of matches, and a home win by two or more goals 24%. An away win by two goals or more was 17%.
That’s a league where the home team’s advantage shows in how often it wins comfortably. A predicted 2-0 home win is on firmer ground than in Italy, where the home side is scoreless almost as often as the visitors.
The chasing clubs
Behind PSG the table is much less settled. Marseille finished second in 2024/25 on 65 points and Monaco third on 61. In 2025/26 Lens were second on 70 and Lille third.
Marseille’s own commonest scores were 0-1, 3-1 and 1-0, at about 8% each, so no single result stands out for them. Wide spreads like that make correct score predictions even harder, because the club doesn’t have a signature scoreline.
Reading a French row
If the table gives PSG a 3-1, that’s one of their two commonest results, at 12%. A 1-0 for PSG is their very commonest at 13%. For an ordinary league match with no PSG, a 1-0 is the most likely single score, ahead of 1-1.
The one result to be careful with is a predicted 0-0. It’s 6.8% of matches without PSG and 1.3% with them, so it’s a rare prediction in a French row and much rarer if Paris is playing.
Five rules we follow
- Start with 1-0, not 1-1. In Ligue 1 the one-goal home win is the commonest score.
- Expect fewer draws. One match in four or five, not in three.
- Treat PSG as a separate case. More goals, fewer draws, and almost never 0-0.
- Back the home side’s scoring. Home teams scored 1.60 a game.
- Keep stakes small. The commonest score covers about 10% of matches.
Common mistakes
The most common mistake is bringing in 1-1 as a default. It’s the first choice in most of the other leagues in our sample, but in France 1-0 beats it.
Another is applying league figures to Paris matches. PSG’s 3.37 goals per match is a long way from the league’s 2.91.
The third is expecting a goalless game between two mid-table sides. 0-0 was 6.8% of matches without PSG, but that’s still one in fifteen.
Questions about Ligue 1 correct scores
What’s the commonest Ligue 1 score? 1-0, at 10% of matches, with 1-1 close behind.
How many goals does a Ligue 1 match have? 2.91 on average.
How often are Ligue 1 matches drawn? About 22%, the lowest rate in the big five.
Does PSG change the stats? Yes. Their matches had 3.37 goals and almost no 0-0 draws.
Who finished top in 2025/26? Paris Saint-Germain, on 76 points, six clear of Lens.
Which league has the most different scores? Ligue 1, with 42 in our sample.
Where can I see other predictions? Try 1X2 for today or over and under 2.5. For another league, see the Dutch page.
These are estimates, not promises. You must be 18 or over to bet, and your stake should be money you can afford to lose.