Australian Football Correct Score Predictions

The A-League is one of the most open leagues in our data. Matches average more than three goals, both teams score in 61% of them, and goalless draws are rare at under 4%. In 2024/25 it did something no other league in our sample did: away teams won more often than home teams.

The table below lists Australian fixtures with a predicted score for each. The predictions come from an outside provider and we show them as published. The notes below use 643 regular-season matches from 2021/22 to 2024/25 to show what A-League scores look like. Finals matches are left out.

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How a correct score bet works

The bet wins only if the match ends exactly as named after 90 minutes plus added time. Extra time and penalties, which only happen in the finals series, don’t count in most bookmakers’ rules. Own goals count for the team credited with them, and an abandoned match usually voids the bet. Check the rules where you bet, because bookmakers differ.

The scores in the A-League

Score Share of A-League matches
1-1 10.3%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 8.2%
1-0 8.1%
1-2 7.9%
0-1 6.7%
2-0 6.2%
0-0 3.9%

Three things stand out. The top five scores cover only 43% of matches, and we found 40 different results. 2-2 is the third commonest score, which is unusual. And 1-0, the commonest score in many leagues, is only fourth.

Goals averaged 3.15 a match. Over 2.5 landed in 61% and over 3.5 in 39%, and one match in ten had six goals or more. Both teams scored in 61% of games. A match with exactly three goals was the commonest total, at 22%, followed by two goals and four.

A home advantage that vanished

Season Matches Home win Draw Away win Goals
2021/22 156 46.8% 24.4% 28.8% 2.92
2022/23 156 45.5% 25.0% 29.5% 3.06
2023/24 162 43.2% 24.7% 32.1% 3.33
2024/25 169 34.9% 26.0% 39.1% 3.29

For three seasons home sides won between 43% and 47% of matches, as in most leagues. In 2024/25, away teams won 39% and home teams only 35%. That season had 13 clubs instead of 12, with Auckland FC joining Wellington Phoenix as the league’s two New Zealand clubs. Why the swing happened isn’t something the results can show, and it’s only one season. But it’s a warning about relying on home advantage in this league.

Across all four seasons the home side scored in 82% of matches and the away side in 75%. The visitors were scoreless in 25%, a lower rate than in most leagues. A home win by two goals or more happened in 22% of matches, and an away win by two or more in 14%.

What the table looked like

The league’s tables are tight. Melbourne City finished top in 2021/22 on 49 points, one ahead of Melbourne Victory. They were top again in 2022/23 on 55.

Central Coast Mariners were top in 2023/24 on 55, two ahead of Wellington Phoenix. Auckland FC finished top in their first season, 2024/25, on 53.

The leaders’ margins were small in the first and third of those seasons, and that shows in the scores. Few matches are mismatches: a win by three goals or more happened in 16% of games, close to the 14% in the European leagues we counted.

How many goals

Goals in the match Share of A-League matches
0 3.9%
1 14.8%
2 20.2%
3 21.9%
4 18.7%
5 10.0%
6 or more 10.6%

Three goals is the commonest total, and four or more goals appeared in 39% of matches. That’s why 2-2, 3-1 and 3-2 are real scorelines in Australia. Only 19% of matches had one goal or none, against about 25% in the European leagues we counted.

What the results can and can’t say

Four seasons is a modest sample, and each is only 156 to 169 matches. That’s enough to say the league scores a lot and that both teams usually score. It isn’t enough to say that the 2024/25 reversal in home advantage will last.

If you’re choosing scores for a match in the next round, lean on the four-season figures for how many goals to expect and on 2024/25 only as a caution about home sides. The 2025/26 results aren’t in our data yet, so we can’t say whether the reversal continued.

Five rules we follow

  1. Allow for goals at both ends. BTTS is 61%.
  2. Take 2-2 seriously. It’s 8.2% and the third commonest score.
  3. Don’t predict 0-0. It’s 3.9%, one of the lowest rates we found.
  4. Don’t assume a home win. In 2024/25 away teams won more often.
  5. Keep stakes small. The commonest score is only 10%.

Common mistakes

The commonest mistake is applying European defensive patterns. A 1-0 or 0-0 default misses the way the A-League plays.

Another is relying on home advantage because it held in earlier seasons. Home wins fell from 43% to 35% in a year.

The third is ignoring the two-and-three-goal middle. Exactly two or three goals happened in 42% of matches.

Reading an Australian row

If the table gives 1-1, you’re on the commonest score. 2-1 is the next, and 2-2 is third, a score that would be unusual in Italy or Spain. A predicted 1-0 is a fine choice but not the default it would be in Europe. A predicted 0-0 is the rarest sensible pick.

Questions about Australian correct scores

What’s the commonest A-League score? 1-1, at 10.3%.

How many goals does an A-League match have? 3.15 on average.

How often do both teams score? In 61% of matches.

How often is an A-League match 0-0? About 3.9%.

Did home advantage disappear? In 2024/25, yes: away wins were 39% and home wins 35%.

Who finished top in 2024/25? Auckland FC, on 53 points.

Where can I see other predictions? Try BTTS for today or over and under 2.5. For another league, see the Chinese page.

These are estimates, not promises. You must be 18 or over to bet, and your stake should be money you can afford to lose.