Major League Soccer produces more different final scores than any league we counted: 45 of them in 1,220 matches. The commonest, 2-1 and 1-1, are tied at 10%, and the top five cover only 41% of games. Goals average 3.13 a match and both teams score in 62% of games, so an American correct score prediction has to choose between a lot of reasonable-looking results.
The table below lists American fixtures with a predicted score for each. The predictions come from an outside provider and we show them as published. The notes use MLS results from July 2024 to October 2026, which include the 2025 playoff matches, to show how scores behave.
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How a correct score bet works
The bet wins only if the match ends exactly as you named it after 90 minutes plus added time. MLS matches that are level after 90 minutes finish as draws in the regular season. Playoff matches can go to extra time and penalties, which don’t count towards a correct score bet in most bookmakers’ rules. Own goals count for the team credited with them, and abandoned matches are normally void. Check the rules where you place the bet.
The scores in MLS
| Score | Share of MLS matches |
|---|---|
| 2-1 | 10.0% |
| 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 1-0 | 7.3% |
| 1-2 | 7.0% |
| 2-2 | 6.5% |
| 2-0 | 6.4% |
| 0-1 | 6.2% |
| 0-0 | 5.6% |
No other league we looked at has 2-1 ranked first or joint first. The league’s goals are spread over many scores: 45 different results appeared, and 2-2 is in the top five at 6.5%. Goalless draws were only 5.6% of matches.
Goals averaged 3.13. Over 2.5 landed in 61% of matches and over 3.5 in 38%. Three goals was the commonest total, at 23%. Both teams scored in 62% of games, so a predicted 1-0 is a rarer choice than it looks.
How many goals
| Goals in the match | Share of MLS matches |
|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6% |
| 1 | 13.5% |
| 2 | 19.8% |
| 3 | 23.0% |
| 4 | 16.6% |
| 5 | 10.9% |
| 6 or more | 10.7% |
Three goals is the commonest total, and four or more goals appeared in 38% of matches. One in five MLS matches had five or more goals in all, which is why scores such as 3-2, 4-2 and 3-3 aren’t unusual here.
What 45 different scores means
Forty-five final scores is a lot. In a league like Greece, with 30, a handful of scores account for most of the matches. In MLS the same share of matches is spread over many more results. The top five scores cover 41% here against 48% in Greece and 52% in La Liga.
For a correct score bettor that means each individual score is rarer, and the best guess is wrong about nine times in ten. It also means nothing is a safe default. A high-scoring or a low-scoring result can each be sensible, depending on the teams.
Home advantage
Home sides won 45% of matches, drew 25% and lost 30%. They averaged 1.75 goals against 1.39 for visitors. The home team was scoreless in 18% of matches and the visitors in 26%. A home win by exactly one goal was 22% and by two or more 23.5%. An away win by two or more was 13%.
That’s a reasonable home edge, and it’s a bit smaller than in China or Spain. A predicted home win in MLS carries a little less certainty than the same prediction in those leagues.
Four clubs
These are results from each club’s own point of view over about 85 matches:
| Club | Won / drew / lost | Goals for / against | Clean sheets | Commonest scores (club first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 57% / 24% / 19% | 2.44 / 1.58 | 19% | 2-2 (10.5%), 2-1 (9%), 3-1 and 1-1 (8% each) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 49% / 25% / 26% | 1.93 / 1.15 | 35% | 1-1 (12.5%), 3-0 (11%), 0-0 and 1-2 (8% each) |
| Los Angeles FC | 47% / 28% / 26% | 1.71 / 1.19 | 35% | 2-2 (11.5%), 1-0 (10.5%), 1-1 and 0-1 (9% each) |
| Nashville SC | 49% / 17% / 33% | 1.72 / 1.30 | 32% | 1-0 (10%), 1-2 and 2-1 (8.5% each) |
Inter Miami score the most and concede the most. They kept a clean sheet in only 19% of matches, and 2-2 was their commonest score. Vancouver and Nashville are much tighter, with clean sheets in about a third of games. Nashville drew only 17% of their matches, the fewest of the four.
In 2026, after 30 regular-season matches each, Nashville SC lead the table on 67 points, with Vancouver and Inter Miami both on 55.
Five rules we follow
- Accept that no score dominates. The commonest scores are 10%.
- Put 2-1 next to 1-1. They’re tied for first.
- Don’t ignore the 2-2. It’s 6.5% of matches, the fifth commonest.
- Look at the club. Miami’s matches are open, Vancouver’s tighter.
- Keep stakes small. This is the hardest league in our data for correct score.
Common mistakes
The commonest mistake is assuming MLS is a low-scoring league. Goals average more than 3 a match.
Another is predicting 1-0 as the safe score. It’s only 7% here, against 8% to 13% in Europe’s quieter leagues.
The third is trusting a single season. MLS scorelines move from year to year, and the 2026 season has been busier, at 3.25 goals a match against 3.02 in 2025.
Reading an American row
If the table gives 2-1 or 1-1, those are the two commonest scores, at 10% each. A predicted 2-2 is on firmer ground than in Europe, and a predicted 1-0 or 0-0 is a little less likely than it would be in Italy or Greece. A predicted 3-0 is a rare pick, though Vancouver reached it in 11% of their matches, more often than the league average.
Questions about American correct scores
What’s the commonest MLS score? 2-1 and 1-1, both at 10%.
How many goals does an MLS match have? 3.13 on average.
How often do both teams score? In 62% of matches.
How many different scores does MLS produce? 45 in our sample, the most of any league we counted.
How often is an MLS match 0-0? About 5.6%.
Do playoff matches count in these figures? The 2025 playoff matches are in the data.
Where can I see other predictions? Try 1X2 for today or BTTS. For another competition, see the Champions League page.
These are estimates, not promises. You must be 18 or over to bet, and your stake should be money you can afford to lose.